Author | No Elements :( |
I have finsihed many MG quests and no elements, while my bro has not done many, but has gotten 3! (He has sold 1). Will I ever get one? |
Probably just keep doing MG and u will get them |
4 quest s hardly anything to start complaining.
the rte of drops is about 20%... (1 in 5, so maybe next time you'll be lucky)
keep doing quests, there are players with 40+ element less streaks and players who've got 6+ in a row. |
keep on going :) |
about elements if there is a 20% chance does that mean in 1 out of 6 u will get at least one element? |
its 1 in 5. so far i have done 6 quests without a single element. Chances of NOT getting an element:
1: 80%
2: 64%
3: 51.2%
4: 40.96%
5: 32.768%
6: 26.2144% - Roughly 1 in 3.8147... people get this far
And this goess on until you get an element.
Btw, the best record (13) is: 5.497558%, which is... O.O 1 in roughly what 18.18989 people get. |
Oh sorry for double post, but you will not DEFINITELY get an element after 5 tries. Look at me as an example, filowarrior. |
i received my first element in 22th win :) So keep going |
Darkness_Elf: 6 quests is hardly a number suitable for statistics, right?
Try doing more quests, if the problem stays for 30-40 quests, then something is wrong. |
9 i remember some unlucky ppl didnt got no element in 50 quests there is nothing wrong with it. |
Once I done around 20 quest with no reward (in Lvl 5 where you can get 2 elements for one quest) |
22, wow. *Lend me your calculator!* 80% to the power of 22 roughly = 0.0073787 = 0.73787 %, which is one in 135.525716... People |
Sorry abt dub post, but 50? That's amazing! Guess some people are luckier. I once delivered something with out being ambushed, + I got meteorite shard.
50 = (Oh, this is chances of not getting an element) 0.00001427247, which is = 0.00142724769%, one in 70064.92322 ppl. |
one in 70064.92322 ppl.
260 000 players registered. 10000 playing daily. Pretty possible it happens once. |
for Omega22:
Well, according to the statistic, only 4567 lords reached past MG 1 (50 points and above). |
Good for them. :p |
only 4567 lords
Also, can we find out how many of these lords have done 50 quests in a row more than once? :-) |
Was that question directed to me? I don't really understand the statement: done 50 quests in a row more than once. |
formulas of sir31416 are the chances to have 0 elements in a given number of quests (20-50...)
for exemple, for 22 quests his formula gives:
0.73787 %, which is one in 135.525716...
1 of 135 players will not have any element in the first 22 quests.
but a lot more than 1 of 135 players had at least a row of 22 quests without reward:
his formula shows only the players with 0 elements between quest 1 and quest 22.
but you could also have 0 elements between quest 11 and quest 32, or between quest 23 and quest 44 or between quest 106 and quest 127...
at the end, nearly all players will have at least a row of 20+ quests without reward.
and i won't be surprised if some players reaches 80 or 100 quests in a row without elements. |
ii got 2 elements fire crustal and moonstone and 100 gold |